Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

ASSURED GUARANTY LTD
Next earnings Aug 5, 2026 · consensus $1.54 EPS, $203M rev
Last earnings +0.5% on 2026-05-07
Cheap, well-capitalized financial guarantor compounding book value via aggressive buybacks at 7.6x earnings — buy.
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001273813, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-08) · EODHD · analysis by claude-code · as of 6/25/2026, 1:33:13 PM.
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Quality fundamentals and an attractive price line up (~389% below fair value) — the rarer case where both the business and the entry look good.
Assured Guaranty is a niche financial guaranty insurer trading at just 7.6x trailing diluted EPS of $10.26 with a fortress balance sheet — $5.66B of equity supporting only $1.70B of long-term debt (liabilities/equity 1.13x), and AA-rated insurance subsidiaries (AG, AGRO, AGUK, AGE) confirmed stable by S&P, KBRA, Moody's and AM Best per the MD&A. Net income grew 33.8% YoY to $503M and diluted EPS jumped 49.3% to $10.26, the latter outpacing earnings because management repurchased $500M of stock and shrank the share count 10.3% in a single year — a textbook capital-return story for a mature insurer with limited reinvestment runway in its core book.
The risks, catalysts, 12-month price target and the cited SEC figures behind this rating — with Pro.
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| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $88.0M | $93.0M | $53.0M | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net income | $389M | $124M | $739M | $376M | $503M |
| Diluted EPS | $5.23 | $1.92 | $12.30 | $6.87 | $10.26 |
| Net margin | 442.0% | 133.3% | 1394.3% | — | — |
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Q1 2026 10-Q filed; continues post-FY25 momentum with strong capital return
Q1 2026 10-Q filed; continues post-FY25 momentum with strong capital return
Q1 2026 earnings release furnished with financials exhibit
Annual shareholder meeting vote results disclosed
Financial results/update furnished (Item 2.02) with exhibit
Officer/director change (Item 5.02) — leadership transition disclosed
2026 proxy: routine board/comp votes ahead of annual meeting
FY25 10-K: $503M NI, $500M buybacks, shares -10%, Assured Life Re entry
FY25 10-K: $503M NI, $500M buybacks, shares -10%, Assured Life Re entry
Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.
1049 tracked peers · median
Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 3 sales
| 2026-06-18 | BORGES FRANCISCO L Director | Gift | 2.59K | |
| 2026-06-17 | BORGES FRANCISCO L Director | Gift | 24.2K | |
| 2026-05-29 | Radtke Lorin Director | Sell | 1.05K @ $74.32 | $77.8K |
| 2026-05-28 | BORGES FRANCISCO L Director | Gift | 74.00 | |
| 2026-05-21 | BORGES FRANCISCO L Director | Gift | 427.00 | |
| 2026-05-11 | Bailenson Robert Chief Operating Officer | Sell | 17.6K @ $78.24 | $1.38M |
| 2026-05-11 | Bailenson Robert Chief Operating Officer | Sell | 32.4K @ $78.82 | $2.55M |
| 2026-05-01 | FREDERICO DOMINIC President/CEO/Deputy Chairman | Award | 34.0K | |
| 2026-05-01 | Bailenson Robert Chief Operating Officer | Award | 7.81K | |
| 2026-05-01 | Donnarumma Stephen Chief Credit Officer | Award | 3.49K |
Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.