Pulling SEC filings + quote and writing the call…

PennyMac Financial Services, Inc.
Next earnings Jul 20, 2026 (after close) · consensus $2.47 EPS, $619M rev
Last earnings -2.7% on 2026-05-05
Cheap mortgage banker at 9x earnings with strong EPS rebound, but 68% of assets at fair value and rate-sensitivity cap upside.
Sources: SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001745916, latest 10-Q filed 2026-05-05) · EODHD · analysis by claude-code · as of 6/25/2026, 12:53:28 PM.
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Middling fundamentals offset by an attractive price (~300% below fair value) — worth a look on the value angle.
PFSI screens cheap on the headline: $83.35 buys you a mortgage banker earning $9.30 of diluted EPS (P/E ~9.0), with net income up 60.9% YoY to $501M and book equity of $4.31B against a $4.35B market cap — i.e., the stock trades at roughly 1.0x book. ROE of 11.6% is respectable for a rate-sensitive mortgage franchise, and the 10-K shows the earnings rebound was largely driven by $551M of Level 3 pre-tax fair-value gains in 2025, much of it the +$453.8M interest-rate-lock-commitment mark and a +$362.4M swing on mortgage servicing liabilities. That is real GAAP income, but it is mark-driven income, not cash — and the contrast is stark: operating cash flow was -$1.65B in FY2025. The headline P/S of 216x is a definitional artifact (the disclosed contract-revenue line excludes the loan/MSR gains that actually drive the P&L), so it should be ignored, not feared.
The risks, catalysts, 12-month price target and the cited SEC figures behind this rating — with Pro.
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| Line item | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.33M | $12.4M | $13.4M | $26.9M | $20.1M |
| Gross profit | — | — | — | — | — |
| Operating income | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net income | $1.00B | $476M | $145M | $311M | $501M |
| Diluted EPS | $14.87 | $8.50 | $2.74 | $5.84 | $9.30 |
| Net margin | 13699.5% | 3837.2% | 1079.3% | 1159.1% | 2491.9% |
Annual figures from SEC 10-K XBRL filings. Open the filing links below for full statement detail.
Computed from SEC XBRL annual figures + the current quote. EV and ROIC use long-term + current debt where filed; estimates, not investment advice.
Executive/director change announced with exhibit; leadership transition disclosed
Annual meeting vote results filed; routine governance outcome
Q1 2026 10-Q filed; ongoing fair-value/MSR exposure and high leverage continue
Q1 2026 10-Q filed; ongoing fair-value/MSR exposure and high leverage continue
2026 proxy filed; director slate and exec comp up for vote
Amended bylaws/charter filed; governance procedural update
FY25 10-K: NI $501M (+61%), equity $4.31B, but 34% assets are Level 3 MSRs
Reg FD disclosure furnished (investor materials); no material change
Q4/FY2025 earnings release: net income $501M, EPS $9.30, +59% YoY
1047 tracked peers · median
Source: EODHD. Yield = trailing-12-month dividends ÷ price.
Dates from 8-K (Item 2.02); beat/miss = reported EPS vs consensus (Finnhub, recent quarters); move = prior close → close on/after.
Recent news tone vs the market's typical (which skews positive). A soft signal, not a recommendation.
Last 90 days: 0 open-market buys · 7 sales
| 2026-06-22 | Hendry Gregory L MD, Chief Accounting Officer | Exercise | 2.94K @ $18.05 | $53.1K |
| 2026-06-22 | Hendry Gregory L MD, Chief Accounting Officer | Sell | 2.94K @ $81.71 | $240K |
| 2026-05-15 | Perotti Daniel Stanley Chief Financial Officer | Sell | 2.92K @ $87.50 | $256K |
| 2026-05-12 | SPECTOR DAVID Chairman & CEO | Sell | 2.77K @ $86.88 | $241K |
| 2026-05-12 | SPECTOR DAVID Chairman & CEO | Sell | 3.14K @ $88.02 | $277K |
| 2026-05-12 | SPECTOR DAVID Chairman & CEO | Sell | 4.08K @ $88.71 | $362K |
| 2026-05-08 | SPECTOR DAVID Chairman & CEO | Disposed (J) | 25.0K | |
| 2026-05-07 | NANJI FARHAD Director | Award | 338.00 @ $93.03 | $31.4K |
| 2026-05-07 | MAZZELLA JOSEPH F Director | Award | 359.00 @ $93.03 | $33.4K |
| 2026-05-07 | Chandra Sunil Director | Award | 336.00 @ $93.03 | $31.3K |
| 2026-04-14 | SPECTOR DAVID Chairman & CEO | Sell | 9.58K @ $92.80 | $889K |
| 2026-04-14 | SPECTOR DAVID Chairman & CEO | Sell | 417.00 @ $93.47 | $39.0K |